Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 12.325656 14.134136 16.064826 18.273647 20.724829 23.355641 26.386723
2025-11-09 9.497637 11.874707 14.588084 17.892793 21.785930 26.202919 31.568367
2025-11-16 7.763158 10.386016 13.538653 17.563526 22.517919 28.367795 35.743537
2025-11-23 6.417303 9.118342 12.515656 17.032422 22.802488 29.845027 38.999248
2025-11-30 5.626275 8.426076 12.088374 17.128012 23.768752 32.098241 43.196963
2025-12-07 4.975150 7.826262 11.693385 17.184469 24.624462 34.185264 47.204918
2025-12-14 4.475123 7.369368 11.428531 17.359164 25.598326 36.416451 51.433193
2025-12-21 4.006266 6.898953 11.089462 17.381253 26.331192 38.321458 55.263451
2025-12-28 3.722723 6.671967 11.068747 17.829707 27.645896 41.025781 60.219390
2026-01-04 3.435975 6.406144 10.960478 18.127726 28.740410 43.445945 64.845291
2026-01-11 3.126898 6.069396 10.711498 18.187963 29.476217 45.372845 68.830935
2026-01-18 2.737905 5.555774 10.141780 17.715150 29.390683 46.117538 71.167334
2026-01-25 2.417166 5.128263 9.678990 17.381025 29.497953 47.146846 73.953017
2026-02-01 2.128506 4.724673 9.220083 17.016610 29.529277 48.051499 76.571840
2026-02-08 1.882684 4.370661 8.812354 16.700632 29.605773 49.005893 79.268344
2026-02-15 1.635728 3.983253 8.311538 16.191023 29.339874 49.421454 81.164099
2026-02-22 1.503624 3.809391 8.174666 16.282735 30.030548 51.293836 85.259473
2026-03-01 1.379340 3.636500 8.024066 16.336905 30.654031 53.072116 89.249153
2026-03-08 1.280973 3.507104 7.943101 16.504528 31.464477 55.155616 93.745072
2026-03-15 1.174339 3.346012 7.787522 16.525724 32.023747 56.853206 97.683285
2026-03-22 1.121717 3.302061 7.856418 16.956086 33.288510 59.697064 103.452093
2026-03-29 1.057678 3.223416 7.849153 17.242127 34.311208 62.175697 108.703231
2026-04-05 0.976506 3.092868 7.725431 17.299947 34.934550 64.020645 112.995842